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Polls: Anti-Gay Amendment Likely To Fail In Arizona, Gap Narrows In Virginia
by 365Gay.com Newscenter Staff

October 25, 2006 - 7:00 pm ET













(Washington) New polls in Virginia and Arizona are giving encouraging signs to LGBT rights groups. In Arizona a poll shows 56 percent of voters opposed to a proposed amendment to the state constitution that would ban same-sex marriage, while a Virginia poll shows that while a proposed amendment could still pass the gap has narrowed to a ten point spread.

The Arizona poll was conducted by the Walter Cronkite School of Journalism at Arizona State University for KAET television. While 56 percent of likely voters now oppose the amendment, 14 percent of those surveyed are undecided.

The survey was taken between October 19 and 22 and shows opposition has grown and the number of undecideds has dropped from a similar poll a month earlier.

“ASU’s recent polling results reaffirm that Arizona voters do not want to take away health care families,” said State Representative Kyrsten Sinema, committee chair for Arizona Together, the organization fighting the amendment. 

“This survey also proves that Arizonans are no longer buying into the bogus belief that Prop. 107 is a gay-marriage ban. However, with 14 percent of voters still undecided and only two weeks until Election Day, it is evident that we need to continue our already aggressive education efforts to make certain we reach each and every voter.” 

The statewide poll, of 1,019 registered voters included 40 percent who said they were Republican, 34 percent Democrat and 26 percent libertarians or independents. Forty-eight percent of voters interviewed were male and 52 percent were female.

Meanwhile, a new poll in Virginia shows that the number of people supporting a proposed amendment that would bar gays from marrying or having civil unions and could be used to nullify domestic partner benefits is slipping. 

Fifty-two percent said they will vote for the amendment - down from 54 percent in a similar poll taken a month ago.

Forty-two percent said they would vote against the amendment.  That is up from 40 percent in the last poll. Six percent of those surveyed had not made up their minds.

With the margin of error, LGBT advocates say, it is still possible the amendment will be defeated on election day.  That means they will be targeting those voters who have not made up their minds.

The sweeping extent of the proposed amendment has generated opposition from business groups and lawyers.

On Tuesday Gov. Tim Kaine became the 200th lawyer in the state to sign a declaration against the measure. (story

Kaine said he still believes marriage should be restricted to opposite-sex couples but that the proposed amendment goes far beyond that. He pointed to sections of the amendment that opponents say would void legal agreements between unmarried couples - both same and opposite-sex - that cover everything from mortgage contracts to child custody arrangements to powers of attorney. 

©365Gay.com 2006


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